Only Because I Like Maths

Well done to Coniglio Ainsworth for their National Award, and Officer Woods and Bernard Seeber for their Commendations won in the National Awards on Thursday night. Great achievement, and a fabulous night. Just out of curiosity, and inspired by the current racing season and all things betting, I thought I’d see which states were most represented at this year’s awards night.

Colorbond Award for Steel Architecture
7 eligible projects: 1 ACT, 1 NSW, 1 Qld, 1 SA, 1 Tas, 1 Vic, 1 WA.
2 shortlisted: 1 NSW & 1 Tas
1 Named Award (NSW)

Commercial Architecture
12 eligible projects: 1 ACT, 1 NSW, 1 Qld, 1 SA, 3 Vic, 5 WA.
4 shortlisted: 1 NSW, 1 SA & 2 Vic
1 Named Award (NSW), 1 National Award (SA) & 1 Commendation (Vic)

Enduring Architecture
5 eligible projects: 1 ACT, 1 NSW, 1 Qld, 1 Tas, 1 Vic.
2 shortlisted: 1 NSW & 1 Qld
1 Named Award (NSW)

Heritage Architecture
10 eligible projects: 4 NSW, 1 Qld, 1 SA, 1 Tas, 1 Vic, 2 WA.
5 shortlisted: 2 NSW, 1 SA, 1 Tas & 1 Vic
1 Named Award (NSW) & 1 National Award (Vic)

Interior Architecture
15 eligible projects: 2 ACT, 3 NSW, 4 Qld, 1 SA, 1 Tas, 2 Vic, 2 WA.
6 shortlisted: 1 NSW, 1 Tas, 2 Vic & 2 WA
1 Named Awards (NSW) & 2 National Awards (1 NSW, 1 Tas)

Public Architecture
25 eligible projects: 2 ACT, 5 NSW, 3 Qld, 3 SA, 1 Tas, 5 Vic, 6 WA.
14 shortlisted: 2 ACT, 5 NSW, 1 SA, 1 Tas & 5 Vic
1 Named Award (Tas), 3 National Awards (2 Vic, 1 NSW)  & 1 Commendation (NSW)

Residential Architecture : Houses
22 eligible projects: 2 ACT, 5 NSW, 4 Qld, 3 SA, 1 Tas, 5 Vic, 2 WA.
11 shortlisted: 4 NSW, 1 Qld, 2 Tas & 4 Vic
1 Named Award (Tas), 1 National Award (NSW) & 4 Commendations (1 NSW, 1 Qld, 2 Vic)

Residential Architecture : Multiple Housing
12 eligible projects: 2 ACT, 4 NSW, 2 Qld, 1 SA, 2 Vic, 1 WA.
6 shortlisted: 1 ACT, 2 NSW, 2 Vic & 1 WA
1 Named Award (Vic), 2 National Awards (1 NSW, 1 Vic) & 1 Commendation (WA)

Small Project Architecture
14 eligible projects: 1 ACT, 3 NSW, 3 Qld, 2 SA, 1 Tas, 2 Vic, 2 WA.
4 shortlisted: 1 ACT, 1 Qld, 1 Vic & 1 WA
2 National Awards (1 Qld & 1 WA)

Sustainable Architecture
8 eligible projects: 1 NSW, 3 Qld, 1 SA, 1 Vic, 2 WA.
3 shortlisted: 1 NSW, 1 Vic & 1 WA
1 Named Award (NSW) & 1 National Award (Vic)

Urban Design
11 eligible projects: 3 NSW, 3 Qld, 1 SA, 3 Vic, 1 WA.
6 shortlisted: 3 NSW, 2 Vic & 1 WA
1 Named Award (Vic), 1 National Award (NSW) & 3 Commendations (1 NSW, 1 Vic, 1 WA)

**I couldn’t find the NT state results, and Tas doesn’t seem to award Architecture Awards – only the Named Awards and Commendations. Not sure if this is right? I put this together from individual documents – the Institute doesn’t actually release which projects are eligible in each category – that I can find anyway.

So, the numbers of awards are obviously not always the same, but we’ll use these as a guide. Also, I’m assuming all projects are equally ‘worthy’ of an award in their category, regardless of state/style/size.

Out of 141 eligible projects, 22% (31 projects) were from NSW, 18.5% (26 projects) were from both Qld and Vic, 17% (24 projects) were from WA, 10.5% (15 projects) were from SA, 8.5% (12 projects) were from the ACT,  and 5% (7 projects) were from Tas. That’s probably about right, considering the size of population and investment in various states.

But, of the 34 award winners, 41% (14) were from NSW, 32% (11) were from Vic, 9% (3) were from Tas, 9% (3) were from WA, 6% (2) were from Qld , and 3% (1) was from SA. 0 from ACT.

So, 45% of NSW entrants won an award, compared with 43% of Tas entrants, 42% of Vic entrants, 12.5% of WA entrants, 8% of Qld entrants, and 7% of SA entrants. Tas punching above their weight – well done!

In terms of odds, there were 124 entrants into the WA awards, and 24 projects sent through to the National Awards (so a 1:5 chance). For all those eligible, based on this year’s awards, you have a 1:4 chance of picking up an award, so in WA, all projects entered have a 1:20 chance of winning a national award. But in actuality, 1 in 40 actually won an award.

The odds for other states were:
ACT: 53 entrants/12 eligible = 2:9 x 1:4 = 1:18 chance. Actual = 0.
NSW: 174 entrants/31 eligible = 2:11 x 1:4 = 1:22 chance. Actual = 2:25.
Vic: 234 entrants/26 eligible = 1:9 x 1:4 = 1:36 chance. Actual = 1:21.
Qld: 216 entrants/26 eligible = 1:8 x 1:4 = 1:32 chance. Actual = 1:108.
SA: 101 entrants/15 eligible = 1:7 x 1:4 = 1:28. Actual = 1:101.
Tas: 28 entrants/7 eligible = 1:4 x 1:4 = 1:16. Actual = 1:9.
NT: 14 entrants/0 eligible? = 0, Actual = 0

I’m not trying to say that any of the winners were not deserving (although after seeing Officer Woods presentation on their Steven St Houses, I do think they was robbed!), nor that our projects should be awarded just because of what state they are in. Just consider this some irrelevant mathematical analysis from an insomniac!

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